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Published September 24, 2020 | Version 4.5.2
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Monthly CO2 emissions projections from 2015-2025: modified SSP2-4.5 to account for COVID-19 impacts on sector activity

  • 1. Imperial College
  • 2. University of Leeds

Description

Monthly CO2 emissions projections 2015-2025, plus 2030, 2040 and 2050. These emissions are modified by country-specific impacts of COVID-19 lockdown in 2020-2023, with 4 different projections for the period starting 2024. 

This repository holds the netcdf files for CO2 emissions from ground-level and aviation sources from the MESSAGE_GLOBIOM scenario SSP2-4.5, from the Scenario4MIPs database (https://esgf-node.llnl.gov/search/input4mips/), modified by the country and sector activity levels associated with lockdown for 2020. Sector activity level in 2020 is based on data up until June, and a fixed estimate is used thereafter. This is the monthly equivalent of https://zenodo.org/record/3951601#.XxYBsihKhPY for this time period.

Funding was provided by the European Union’s Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Programme under grant agreement nos. 820829 (CONSTRAIN) http://constrain-eu.org/ 

see https://github.com/Priestley-Centre/COVID19_emissions for more details.

Notes

Note that the data and normalisation process used in the aviation data is subtly updated since the version 4 found in related databases, hence that is referred to as v4.5. It still does not cover the whole month of July, due to publication date. The whole dataset is now considered version 4.5.2 as it features more variables and differently cropped timeframes, (these now extend to 2050) however is still consistent with version 4.5 in terms of the input data.

Files

Files (2.9 GB)

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md5:7d2f4b336a4a83de21377f593c251d59
408.2 MB Download
md5:e06e2a414932331cb96ca22b9eb6d8da
543.2 MB Download
md5:3c117b077899348779692cc2c2740536
408.2 MB Download
md5:7e15a7fdfe40c47813539a4dd32d86b9
261.1 MB Download
md5:957b01d3534e05058ffe406bb0365e2d
281.1 MB Download
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md5:fe72b214d3e7e4381129ec4b274fc4d6
261.2 MB Download
md5:d845aa9a8ad0ef3f98f5014a59843616
281.1 MB Download
md5:1dfe244c29e641df9222ac52b9ac28e2
220.9 MB Download

Additional details

Related works

Funding

CONSTRAIN – Constraining uncertainty of multi decadal climate projections 820829
European Commission